Jump to content
  • advertisement_alt
  • advertisement_alt
  • advertisement_alt
Sign in to follow this  
TSU88

CAA tournament seeding

Recommended Posts

We’re currently in 5th place. While I guess we could still finish as high as 3rd or 4th, I’m going to assume, based on our recent past performance, we lose our last 2 games (on the road, vs Hofstra & NE) and finish 8-10. If that happens, we don’t move up, regardless of what W&M does in its last 2 games, as the worst they can finish is 9-9. 

We also can’t mathematically drop below the 6 line. The team behind us is Elon, at 6-9. For Elon to pass us & move into 5th, they’d have to win 2 of their last 3 (assuming of course we lose our last 2). Elon still has to play C of C & NE (as well as JMU). My prediction is they will lose at least 2 of those games, & thus not overtake us for 5th place. 

So, assuming we stay in 5th place, we would play either W&M (currently in 4th) or Hofstra, if W&M overtakes them for 3rd. 

As it now stands, I think we’ll play W&M in the 1st round. I don’t feel super confident about this squad beating any team 3X in one season. If we do manage that feat, our “reward” is likely C of C (who’s won like 10 games in a row) on what is essentially their home court.

Edited by TSU88

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Forgot to mention that Elon also finishes ahead of us if they win their last 3 games (leaving them 9-9 in conference) AND we lose both our last 2 games, to finish 8-10 in conference. If both teams win out the rest of the season (highly unlikely) we finish ahead of them, 10-8 in conference to 9-9 for them.

If Elon goes 2-1, they finish 8-10. We would have to win 1 of our last 2 games in this scenario to stay ahead of them, as if we both finish 8-8, they have the tiebreaker by virtue of having swept us during the regular season.

Sooo, to summarize, to pass us for 5th, Elon has to win 2 of their last 3, & have us lose our last 2, or win all 3 of their remaining games & have us lose 1 of our last two games 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yesterday would have clinched a bye but we choked that away.  5-6 very likely but 7-8 also in play.  

 

Posted on this the other day as well as my all CAA teams but posits got wiped out 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
Sign in to follow this  

Footer title

This content can be configured within your theme settings in your ACP. You can add any HTML including images, paragraphs and lists.

Footer title

This is an example of a list.

Footer title

This content can be configured within your theme settings in your ACP. You can add any HTML including images, paragraphs and lists.

Footer title

This content can be configured within your theme settings in your ACP. You can add any HTML including images, paragraphs and lists.

×