Other than the obvious outcomes (getting crushed and melted by Navy and S. Carolina), I just don’t see how anyone at this point can accurately forecast our final record, in either an optimistic or pessimistic sense. I mean, there are just too many personnel changes on our roster, and perhaps on those of some of our opponents as well.
Granted, past performance (since 2014) supports on the surface a prediction of a 6-6 or 7-5 final record (if not worse), but past performance is not always indicative of future results.
As for me, I’m not naively optimistic, but I’m going to defer for now on predicting our final record. I will say this, though not in the nature of a prediction…seeing as we’re going to lose in weeks 2 & 3 (barring a miracle of heretofore unknown proportions), it’s imperative we beat Maine in week 1 and Morgan in week 4. (Especially Maine, as it’s conference game, and winning the CAA autobid may be our only long shot chance of making the playoffs). If however, we split Maine and Morgan, or, worse case scenario, lose them both, we’d be 1-3 or 0-4 right out of the gate, which would almost certainly cement another mediocre season